Daily Supply & Demand Zones

Daily supply & demand levels based on real market structure, used by thousands of traders learning professional price action.

Updated Daily at 9:00 AM GMT

4 Major Currency Pairs

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Key Updates

Note: BUY/SELL pressure shown below is sourced from OANDA's real-time order book — the same institutional-grade data used in the charts. www.oanda-order-book.com .

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Key Currency Pairs Analysis

Detailed supply and demand zone analysis for major currency pairs, updated daily using institutional order flow data.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD Analysis

Live

Current Price: 1.13699 | Daily Range: 1.13649 - 1.14012

Last updated: 2026.07.24 23:59:04

Trend Status:

Daily: — 1H: — Intra-Day: — COT: —

Price Movement:

Volatility: — ADR: — Streak: — Open-Close: —

Key Fundamental Drivers

The core macro forces that move EUR/USD.

ECB vs Fed Policy Divergence:

The relative pace of rate hikes/cuts between the ECB and Fed is the single biggest driver of medium-term direction.

High Impact

Interest Rate Differential:

The gap between Eurozone and US 2yr/10yr government bond yields underpins carry-trade flows into or out of the euro.

High Impact

Eurozone Growth vs US Growth:

Relative GDP, PMI and industrial output trends shape expectations for future rate paths.

Medium Impact

Risk Sentiment (Risk-On/Off):

The dollar's safe-haven status means broad risk-off moves tend to weigh on EUR/USD independent of Eurozone-specific news.

Medium Impact

Key Correlations

Approximate rolling correlation with related markets, used for confluence checks.

US Dollar Index (DXY):

EUR/USD makes up roughly 57.6% of the DXY basket, so the two move almost as mirror images.

Strong Negative

GBP/USD:

Shared exposure to broad USD strength/weakness keeps these two pairs moving together most of the time.

Strong Positive

USD/CHF:

As the Swiss franc tracks the euro closely, USD/CHF tends to be an inverse mirror of EUR/USD.

Strong Negative

Gold (XAU/USD):

Both are priced against the dollar, so a weaker dollar typically lifts both EUR/USD and gold together.

Moderate Positive

US 10-Year Treasury Yield:

Rising US yields widen the rate differential in the dollar's favor, pressuring EUR/USD lower.

Moderate Negative

S&P 500 / Global Risk Assets:

Correlation shifts with the macro regime; during risk-off equity selloffs, dollar demand tends to weigh on EUR/USD.

Variable / Regime-Dependent

Key Economic Events to Watch

Scheduled releases with the highest historical impact on EUR/USD volatility.

Fed Interest Rate Decision & Press Conference:

FOMC rate decisions and Powell's forward guidance are typically the single biggest volatility events for the pair.

High

ECB Interest Rate Decision & Press Conference:

Lagarde's tone on inflation and rate path drives sharp intraday repricing of the euro leg.

High

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP):

Monthly US jobs data shifts Fed rate-cut/hike expectations and routinely produces the largest single-day ranges of the month.

High

US CPI (Inflation):

Core and headline US inflation readings directly reprice Fed rate-cut timing.

High

Eurozone Flash CPI:

Early inflation signal for the bloc that shapes ECB policy expectations ahead of the official decision.

Medium

Eurozone & German PMI/Ifo:

Germany's outsized weight in the Eurozone economy makes its surveys an early growth signal.

Medium

US ISM Manufacturing/Services PMI:

Leading indicator of US economic momentum that feeds into growth and rate expectations.

Medium

US Retail Sales & GDP:

Confirms or challenges the consumer-strength narrative underpinning US growth and dollar demand.

Medium

Positioning & Seasonality

Structural and calendar-based tendencies that add context to daily price action.

CFTC Net Speculative Positioning:

Extreme long or short positioning by large speculators often precedes short-covering reversals.

Weekly (COT)

Month-End / Quarter-End Rebalancing:

Large real-money flows tied to index and portfolio rebalancing can distort the last trading hours of the month.

Recurring

Summer Liquidity (Jul–Aug):

Thinner summer liquidity can produce sharper, less reliable moves outside of London/NY overlap.

Seasonal

London/NY Session Overlap:

The bulk of EUR/USD's daily volume and range occurs during the London/New York overlap.

12:00–16:00 GMT

Key Resources

Trusted sources to verify data and track releases in real time.

Economic Calendar: Investing.com

ECB Rate Decisions: ECB.europa.eu

Fed / FOMC Decisions: FederalReserve.gov

CFTC COT Reports: CFTC.gov

US Yields & Rates Data: FRED.stlouisfed.org

DXY / Dollar Index Chart: TradingView.com

Session Times (GMT)

Standard session windows — shift by an hour during UK/US daylight-saving mismatches.

Sydney Session:

Lowest EUR/USD volume of the day, typically ranges of just a few pips outside of headlines.

21:00–06:00

Tokyo Session:

Light EUR/USD activity — moves here are more often JPY or AUD driven.

00:00–09:00

London Session:

The main EUR/USD driver — the London open often sets the tone and range for the rest of the day.

08:00–17:00

New York Session:

Where most US data releases land — combined with London overlap this window carries the day's highest volatility.

13:00–22:00

London/NY Overlap:

Peak liquidity window — the tightest spreads and largest average ranges occur here.

13:00–17:00

Fundamentals Notes

Correlations are approximate and regime-dependent — they can weaken or invert during central bank policy shifts, geopolitical shocks, or liquidity crunches. Treat this section as context for the technical zones above, not a standalone signal.

Daily Close Probability

Historical likelihood of a bullish or bearish daily close.

Bullish Close Chance:

The probability of the day's closing price being higher than its opening price.

50.7%

Bearish Close Chance:

The probability of the day's closing price being lower than its opening price.

49.2%

(1-Hour) Bullish Close Chance:

The probability of the current hour's closing price being higher than its opening price.

NS%

(1-Hour) Bearish Close Chance:

The probability of the current hour's closing price being lower than its opening price.

NS%

Daily Open-Close Range Probability

Statistics the likelihood of candle bodies falling within certain pip thresholds.

Bullish Days Gain Less Than 70 Pips:

Percentage of times a bullish candle body forms under 70 pips.

91.07%

Bullish Days Gain Less Than 40 Pips:

Percentage of times a bullish candle body forms under 40 pips.

73.45%

Bearish Days Decline Less Than 80 Pips:

Percentage of times a bearish candle body forms under 80 pips.

77.84%

Bearish Days Decline Less Than 50 Pips:

Percentage of times a bearish candle body forms under 50 pips.

59.50%

Bullish/Bearish Streak End Probabilities

Probabilities of a trend reversal after a series of bullish or bearish closes.

After 3+ Bullish Candles → Bearish Close:

The chance a bullish streak ends with a bearish close.

87.94%

After 3+ Bearish Candles → Bullish Close:

The chance a bearish streak ends with a bullish close.

87.41%

After 3+ Daily Higher Highs → Bearish Close:

Probability of a bearish close after a 1-hour bullish streak.

87.18%

After 3+ Daily Lower Lows → Bullish Close:

Probability of a bullish close after a 1-hour bearish streak.

87.03%

Daily Close After High/Low Break

Probabilities of closing price behavior after a high or low is broken.

Bullish Days Break Prior Days High

The probability that a bullish day's high surpasses the previous day's high.

66.54%

Bullish Days Form Higher Low:

The probability that a bullish day's low is higher than the previous day's low.

69.41%

Bearish Days Break Prior Days Low:

The probability that a bearish day's low drops below the previous day's low.

67.29%

Bearish Days Form Lower High:

The probability that a bearish day's high is lower than the previous day's high.

68.28%

Daily Close Stats Price Distance From Open

Probabilities of closing price behavior based on movement from the open.

Bullish Close if Price Rises ≥ 80 pips from Open:

The probability of a bullish close if the price rises at least 80 pips from the opening price.

69.69%

Bullish Close if Price Falls ≥ 50 pips from Open:

The probability of a bullish close if the price falls at least 50 pips from the opening price.

13.23%

Bearish Close if Price Falls ≥ 90 pips from Open:

The probability of a bearish close if the price falls at least 90 pips from the opening price.

75.24%

Bearish Close if Price Rises ≥ 40 pips from Open:

The probability of a bearish close if the price rises at least 40 pips from the opening price.

12.71%

Dataset Breakdown (Daily/1-Hour)

The total number of bullish and bearish candles analyzed.

Bullish Candles Analyzed

The total count of daily bullish candles in the dataset.

3243

Bearish Candles Analyzed

The total count of daily bearish candles in the dataset.

3146

Total Candles Analyzed

The total count of daily candles in the dataset.

6420

Dataset Range (Years)

The total count of 1-hour bearish candles in the dataset.

Statistical Notes

Our EUR/USD data provides key insights on notable price behaviors observed from January 1st 1999 to January 1st, 2023. Our analysis reveals hidden patterns, price behaviors, and trading opportunities, offering a complete overview of EUR/USD market dynamics.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD Analysis

Live

Current Price: 1.13699 | Daily Range: 1.13649 - 1.14012

Last updated: 2026.07.24 23:59:04

Trend Status:

Daily: — 1H: — Intra-Day: — COT: —

Price Movement:

Volatility: — ADR: — Streak: — Open-Close: —